{ "researched_at_utc": "2026-10-06T22:45:31.910157+00:00", "baseline_as_of_utc": "2026-10-06T22:00:22Z", "status": "research_and_collection_plan", "national_asking_estimate": null, "coverage_is_historical": true, "new_listing_admissions": 0, "ebay_excluded": true, "target_population": "Unique active US-seller listings for working used standalone exact-model GPUs, with local pickup and shipped offers reported separately.", "unit": "A unique seller offer, not a GPU stock unit, search appearance or completed transaction.", "census_geography_source": "https://www2.census.gov/geo/pdfs/maps-data/maps/reference/us_regdiv.pdf", "baseline_coverage": [ { "model": "RTX 4090", "baseline_screened_asks": 12, "source_counts": { "facebook": 12 }, "state_counts": { "TX": 1, "IL": 1, "NJ": 1, "MI": 1, "WA": 1, "OH": 3, "OR": 1, "NY": 1, "FL": 1, "AL": 1 }, "division_counts": { "New England": 0, "Middle Atlantic": 2, "East North Central": 5, "West North Central": 0, "South Atlantic": 1, "East South Central": 1, "West South Central": 1, "Mountain": 0, "Pacific": 2 }, "divisions_with_samples": 6, "missing_divisions": [ "New England", "West North Central", "Mountain" ] }, { "model": "RTX 5090", "baseline_screened_asks": 7, "source_counts": { "offerup": 1, "craigslist": 1, "facebook": 5 }, "state_counts": { "CA": 2, "TX": 2, "IL": 1, "GA": 1, "MI": 1 }, "division_counts": { "New England": 0, "Middle Atlantic": 0, "East North Central": 2, "West North Central": 0, "South Atlantic": 1, "East South Central": 0, "West South Central": 2, "Mountain": 0, "Pacific": 2 }, "divisions_with_samples": 4, "missing_divisions": [ "New England", "Middle Atlantic", "West North Central", "East South Central", "Mountain" ] }, { "model": "RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell", "baseline_screened_asks": 0, "source_counts": {}, "state_counts": {}, "division_counts": { "New England": 0, "Middle Atlantic": 0, "East North Central": 0, "West North Central": 0, "South Atlantic": 0, "East South Central": 0, "West South Central": 0, "Mountain": 0, "Pacific": 0 }, "divisions_with_samples": 0, "missing_divisions": [ "New England", "Middle Atlantic", "East North Central", "West North Central", "South Atlantic", "East South Central", "West South Central", "Mountain", "Pacific" ] } ], "geographic_collection_plan": [ { "division": "New England", "region": "Northeast", "states": [ "CT", "ME", "MA", "NH", "RI", "VT" ], "suggested_hubs": [ "Boston, MA", "Hartford, CT", "Portland, ME", "Burlington, VT" ], "status": "planned_not_newly_searched" }, { "division": "Middle Atlantic", "region": "Northeast", "states": [ "NJ", "NY", "PA" ], "suggested_hubs": [ "New York, NY", "Philadelphia, PA", "Pittsburgh, PA", "Buffalo, NY" ], "status": "planned_not_newly_searched" }, { "division": "East North Central", "region": "Midwest", "states": [ "IN", "IL", "MI", "OH", "WI" ], "suggested_hubs": [ "Chicago, IL", "Detroit, MI", "Columbus, OH", "Milwaukee, WI" ], "status": "planned_not_newly_searched" }, { "division": "West North Central", "region": "Midwest", "states": [ "IA", "KS", "MN", "MO", "NE", "ND", "SD" ], "suggested_hubs": [ "Minneapolis, MN", "Kansas City, MO", "Omaha, NE", "Fargo, ND" ], "status": "planned_not_newly_searched" }, { "division": "South Atlantic", "region": "South", "states": [ "DE", "DC", "FL", "GA", "MD", "NC", "SC", "VA", "WV" ], "suggested_hubs": [ "Washington, DC", "Atlanta, GA", "Miami, FL", "Raleigh, NC" ], "status": "planned_not_newly_searched" }, { "division": "East South Central", "region": "South", "states": [ "AL", "KY", "MS", "TN" ], "suggested_hubs": [ "Nashville, TN", "Louisville, KY", "Birmingham, AL", "Jackson, MS" ], "status": "planned_not_newly_searched" }, { "division": "West South Central", "region": "South", "states": [ "AR", "LA", "OK", "TX" ], "suggested_hubs": [ "Dallas, TX", "Houston, TX", "Oklahoma City, OK", "Little Rock, AR" ], "status": "planned_not_newly_searched" }, { "division": "Mountain", "region": "West", "states": [ "AZ", "CO", "ID", "MT", "NV", "NM", "UT", "WY" ], "suggested_hubs": [ "Denver, CO", "Phoenix, AZ", "Salt Lake City, UT", "Boise, ID" ], "status": "planned_not_newly_searched" }, { "division": "Pacific", "region": "West", "states": [ "AK", "CA", "HI", "OR", "WA" ], "suggested_hubs": [ "Seattle, WA", "San Francisco, CA", "Los Angeles, CA", "Portland, OR", "Anchorage, AK", "Honolulu, HI" ], "status": "planned_not_newly_searched" } ], "queries": { "RTX 4090": [ "RTX 4090", "4090" ], "RTX 5090": [ "RTX 5090", "5090" ], "RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell Workstation 96GB": [ "RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell", "PRO 6000 96GB", "RTX 6000 Blackwell" ] }, "collection_protocol": [ "Run the same exact and fallback queries in a fixed geography/source rotation. Inspect the actual seller state and card identity; query location and text matches are not identity evidence.", "Start with the nine divisions and 38 listed hubs, then rotate uncovered states and rural Craigslist areas. Alaska and Hawaii require their own checks. A city radius is not complete state coverage.", "Record source, query, city, supported radius, selected sort, pages/cards checked, UTC observation time, access failure and review disposition. Unknown/inaccessible results are not zero inventory.", "Collect broad active results plus newest results when the platform visibly supports them; do not select only low prices or promising thumbnails. Review all relevant offers where feasible; otherwise use a prespecified systematic or random selection within each discovered region/source cell and disclose that selection.", "Recheck known URLs daily and discover new offers daily using supported access. The current dashboard button only rechecks known offers; a new discovery service is not implemented by this report.", "Apply the existing explicit evidence review before admitting any ask. Keep ambiguous identity, parts-only, sold, sealed, auction, whole-PC, conditional trade and conflicting evidence outside the used core.", "Deduplicate stable source IDs, then review possible cross-posts using seller/location, actual-unit photos, description and distinguishing labels. Do not merge merely because model and price match.", "Keep each seller offer once. Preserve per-card asking amount versus bundle total; quantities and cross-platform hardware identity remain unknown unless evidenced.", "Report local pickup, shipped asking amount and known mandatory shipping/fees separately. Unknown shipping is not zero; sales tax depends on destination.", "Publish the listing-weighted observed median, middle 50 percent, counts, region/source cells and evidence freshness. Use one-day active asks and a separate recent-new-listing series; never mix these with 12-month sold averages.", "Compare source-only and region-only medians as sensitivity checks once cells have data. Do not manufacture population weights from general population or PC gamer shares; actual GPU listing shares are unknown.", "A non-probability marketplace sample cannot claim a national margin of error merely from sample size. More samples improve observed coverage, not a guaranteed national census or authenticity." ], "primary_sources": [ { "name": "Jawa", "urls": [ "https://www.jawa.gg/blog/how-to-actually-read-jawas-price-tracker/", "https://www.jawa.gg/parts/gpus/geforce-rtx-4090-2d21ec", "https://www.jawa.gg/parts/gpus/geforce-rtx-5090-part_01khafqkm0fk2b6znrw5bqnjpc" ], "evidence": "Official documentation distinguishes seller asks from buyer-paid prices, and model pages expose platform-reported 12-month sale history and counts.", "observed_history": [ { "gpu": "RTX 4090", "average_sale_usd": 2252, "sales_count": 85 }, { "gpu": "RTX 5090", "average_sale_usd": 4040, "sales_count": 85 } ], "limitations": [ "These are platform-reported 12-month aggregates, not current nationwide used medians.", "The RTX5090 page includes a collector edition and a $1865-$22500 historical range; exact comparable filtering is essential.", "Underlying payments and every historical transaction were not independently audited." ] }, { "name": "HardwareSwap", "urls": [ "https://www.reddit.com/r/hardwareswap/wiki/rules/", "https://www.reddit.com/r/hardwareswap/comments/1wq8l9c/usasch_rtx_5090_gigabyte_aorus_master_ice_32gb/" ], "evidence": "Official Asking Price rule 4d requires actual selling-price edits. Opened Aorus Master ICE RTX5090 post explicitly reports Sold for $5650 shipped, against original $5750 shipped / $5550 local asking prices.", "limitations": [ "Final-price reports are seller supplied.", "Closed/Sold status with an unchanged ask is not proof of the accepted amount.", "Post creation or observation date must not be substituted for an unknown exact sale date." ] }, { "name": "HardwareSwap Discord price checks", "urls": [ "https://www.reddit.com/r/buildapc/wiki/rules/", "https://hwsmarket.com/" ], "evidence": "BuildAPC's official rules direct price evaluations to HardwareSwap Discord.", "limitations": [ "Advice is community valuation opinion, not completed-transaction evidence.", "No price-check requests or messages were sent." ] }, { "name": "HomelabSales", "urls": [ "https://www.reddit.com/r/homelabsales/wiki/index/", "https://www.reddit.com/r/homelabsales/comments/1t4sysu/fsusail_rtx_pro_6000_96gb_7000_shipped/" ], "evidence": "Official rules support Price Check and For Sale posts. An older lightly used PRO6000 96GB listing demonstrates relevant inventory and retains its $7000 shipped ask with SOLD status.", "limitations": [ "The older $7000 ask is not today's benchmark or explicit final accepted payment.", "Confirm exact Blackwell edition from physical evidence before including a comp." ] }, { "name": "PCPartPicker / NVIDIA partners", "urls": [ "https://www.jawa.gg/blog/this-website-tracks-pc-part-prices-over-time/", "https://pcpartpicker.com/trends/price/video-card/", "https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/products/workstations/professional-desktop-gpus/rtx-pro-6000/" ], "evidence": "Jawa's seller guidance recommends PCPartPicker price trends. NVIDIA's exact 96GB Workstation Edition page directs buyers to NVIDIA Marketplace and partners.", "limitations": [ "New retail comparisons are separate from used resale prices.", "Direct PCPartPicker inspection returned403; no current PCPartPicker price was claimed.", "NVIDIA marketplace rendered only a shell; no partner quote amount was claimed." ] }, { "name": "Swappa", "urls": [ "https://swappa.com/catalog/type/graphics-card", "https://swappa.com/sell/product/gigabyte-geforce-rtx-4090", "https://swappa.com/sell/product/gigabyte-geforce-rtx-5090", "https://swappa.com/sell/product/nvidia-geforce-rtx-5090-fe" ], "evidence": "Supports current GPU asking-price listings; all three checked Recent Prices panels lack pricing data.", "limitations": [ "Catalog presence does not establish recent completed-price coverage." ] }, { "name": "ResalePrices / Silicon Comps", "urls": [ "https://resaleprices.com/about", "https://siliconcomps.com/methodology/" ], "evidence": "Their own methodologies identify eBay active asking-price inputs.", "limitations": [ "Excluded under the user's instruction to ignore eBay.", "Tracker labels such as fair price do not convert asks into executed sale prices." ] }, { "name": "Census geographic frame", "urls": [ "https://www2.census.gov/geo/pdfs/maps-data/maps/reference/us_regdiv.pdf" ], "finding": "Four regions and nine divisions, including all50 states and DC." }, { "name": "AAPOR disclosure standards", "urls": [ "https://aapor.org/standards-and-ethics/disclosure-standards/" ], "finding": "Disclose selection, frame coverage, counts, processing, weighting and assumptions behind non-probability precision. Applying these principles to GPU listing content analysis is our methodological recommendation." }, { "name": "Jawa published price cap", "urls": [ "https://www.jawa.gg/blog/jawas-take-on-scalping/" ], "finding": "Jawa documents a price-cap policy. It may affect observed asks; current enforcement is not independently audited, so Jawa is not an unrestricted national market census." }, { "name": "Craigslist native alerts", "urls": [ "https://www.craigslist.org/about/help/account/features/alerts" ], "finding": "Alerts contain at most20 results and may include edited, reposted and renewed offers. Use IDs and details; alerts alone are not exhaustive." }, { "name": "OfferUp native alerts and local-only policy", "urls": [ "https://help.offerup.com/hc/en-us/articles/360031995332-Get-notified-about-items-you-want", "https://help.offerup.com/hc/en-us/articles/41043186552980-Nationwide-shipping-ending" ], "finding": "Search alerts can include related models/accessories. Current platform policy is localpickup only; independent multi-city coverage is needed." } ], "implemented_this_update": [ "Published price-reference directory", "Computed nine-division baseline coverage audit", "Saved geographic discovery and accuracy protocol" ], "not_implemented": [ "Unattended national new-listing discovery", "Jawa or Reddit transaction ingestion", "An all-US inventory total", "A representative national price estimator" ] }